slp {ensembleBMA} | R Documentation |
This data set gives the 48-hour sea-level pressure forecasts and observations for the period from January 12, 2000 to June 30, 2000 at 0 hours GMT, using a 12-km grid resolution.
A matrix with nine columns and 496 rows. The columns are:
date - a numeric vector containing the date of each forecast/observation set, in the format YYYYMMDDHH.
lat - a numeric vector containing the latitude of each forecast/observation set.
lon - a numeric vector containing the latitude of each forecast/observation set.
F1 - a numeric vector containing the forecasts coming from the AVN member of the UW MM5.
F2 - a numeric vector containing the forecasts coming from the GEM member of the UW MM5.
F3 - a numeric vector containing the forecasts coming from the ETA member of the UW MM5.
F4 - a numeric vector containing the forecasts coming from the NGM member of the UW MM5.
F5 - a numeric vector containing the forecasts coming from the NOGAPS member of the UW MM5.
Y - a numeric vector containing the observed sea-level pressure.
Grimit, E.P. and C. F. Mass, "Initial results of a mesoscale short-range ensemble forecasting system over the Pacific Northwest." Weather and Forecasting, 2002, vol 17, pp 192-205 available at: http://www.stat.washington.edu/MURI/papers/grimitmass2002.pdf
Raftery, A. E., T. Gneiting, F. Balabdaoui, & M. Polakowski, "Using Bayesian Model Averaging to calibrate forecast ensembles." Monthlly Weather Review, to appear, 2005. earlier version available at: http://www.stat.washington.edu/www/research/reports/2003/tr440.pdf